SimpleFunctions

$1,650 to 1,689.99 · Ethereum price at Jun 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1

$1,650 to 1,689.99 is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 14 inside Ethereum price at Jun 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1.

Price history

19¢ current

+8¢
10¢20¢
Jun 19, 2026Jun 24, 2026

Contract brief

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 1650-1689.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

$1,650 to 1,689.99

Rank

#1 of 14

Leader

$1,650 to 1,689.99 20¢

Range

2¢-20¢

Family volume

$2K

Identifier

KXETH-26JUN2617-B1670

Jun 24, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Implied probability

19¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 24, 2026, 12:38 AM UTC · 9m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

25¢

Spread

24h volume

$103

Family rank

#1 of 14

14 outcomes · Ethereum price at Jun 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $1

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Family volume

$2K

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 25¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
20¢5.0K
12¢218
11¢250
3¢3.3K
2¢3.4K
AskSize
25¢5.0K
38¢207
39¢250
43¢104
44¢428

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 1650-1689.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 26, 2026

Identifier

KXETH-26JUN2617-B1670

SF Signal
SF Index
54636.68
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

4

VR

0.32

IAR

1.0/h

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4
VR
0.32
IAR
1.0/h
Overround
-0.1%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.