SimpleFunctions

Jose Teran Santibanez to win Floyd Diaz vs Jose Teran Santibanez

Jose Teran Santibanez is priced at 38¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Floyd Diaz vs Jose Teran Santibanez Winner.

Price history

38¢ current

+36¢
0¢25¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Jose Teran Santibanez wins the Floyd Diaz vs Jose Teran Santibanez boxing match originally scheduled for Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Jose Teran Santibanez

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Floyd Diaz 61¢

Range

36¢-61¢

Family volume

$62

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUN28DIAZSANTIB-SANTIB

Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 11m ago

Implied probability

38¢
Bid/ask midpoint
Jun 25, 2026, 11:08 AM UTC · 11m ago

Bid

36¢

Ask

39¢

Spread

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · Floyd Diaz vs Jose Teran Santibanez Winner

Closes

Jul 12, 2026

Family volume

$62

Orderbook snapshot

36 / 39¢

Kalshi
3¢ spread
BidSize
36¢1.3K
35¢2.2K
34¢1.2K
33¢1.0K
32¢100
AskSize
39¢2.0K
40¢1.9K
41¢1.8K
42¢1.0K
43¢200

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Jose Teran Santibanez wins the Floyd Diaz vs Jose Teran Santibanez boxing match originally scheduled for Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 12, 2026

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUN28DIAZSANTIB-SANTIB

SF Signal
SF Index
1859.07
Regime
neutral

Event family

Floyd Diaz vs Jose Teran Santibanez Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$62

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Floyd Diaz 61¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3718.1%
1176.4%
Adj IY
1859%
2

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.