Will John Keefer finish top 10 for Genesis Scottish Open
John Keefer is priced at 85¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 75¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 16 inside Genesis Scottish Open.
Price history
85¢ current
+83¢Contract brief
If John Keefer finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
John Keefer
Rank
#2 of 16
Leader
Rory McIlroy 94¢
Range
1¢-94¢
Family volume
$96K
Identifier
KXPGATOP10-GESO26-JKEE
Jul 12, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
23¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
75¢
24h volume
$3K
Family rank
#2 of 16
16 outcomes · Genesis Scottish Open
Closes
Aug 9, 2026
Family volume
$96K
Orderbook snapshot
23 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If John Keefer finishes in the top 10 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 9, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP10-GESO26-JKEE
Event family
Genesis Scottish Open.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$96K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Rory McIlroy 94¢
Current share
3%
Rory McIlroy
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-RMCI
John Keefer
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-JKEE
Tom Kim
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-TKIM
Keita Nakajima
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-KNAK
Si Woo Kim
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-WKIM
Chris Gotterup
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-CGOT
Michael Thorbjornsen
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-MTHO
Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-WCLA
Robert MacIntyre
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-RMAC
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-SYEL
Joost Luiten
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-JLUI
Tommy Fleetwood
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-TFLE
Tyrrell Hatton
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-THAT
Nicolai Hojgaard
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-NHOJ
Patrick Reed
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-PREE
Karl Vilips
kalshi · KXPGATOP10-GESO26-KVIL
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.