Will John Keefer finish top 5 for Genesis Scottish Open
John Keefer is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 99¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Genesis Scottish Open.
Price history
99¢ current
+96¢Contract brief
If John Keefer finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
John Keefer
Rank
#1 of 16
Leader
John Keefer 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$152K
Identifier
KXPGATOP5-GESO26-JKEE
Jul 12, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
99¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$7K
Family rank
#1 of 16
16 outcomes · Genesis Scottish Open
Closes
Aug 9, 2026
Family volume
$152K
Orderbook snapshot
99 / 100¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If John Keefer finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 9, 2026
Identifier
KXPGATOP5-GESO26-JKEE
Event family
Genesis Scottish Open.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$152K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
John Keefer 99¢
Current share
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-MFIT
Tom Kim
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-TKIM
Robert MacIntyre
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-RMAC
Min Woo Lee
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-MLEE
John Keefer
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-JKEE
Keita Nakajima
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-KNAK
Kevin Roy
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-KROY
Tommy Fleetwood
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-TFLE
Tyrrell Hatton
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-THAT
Rory McIlroy
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-RMCI
Chris Gotterup
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-CGOT
Wyndham Clark
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-WCLA
Michael Thorbjornsen
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-MTHO
Si Woo Kim
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-WKIM
Viktor Hovland
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-VHOV
Jon Rahm
kalshi · KXPGATOP5-GESO26-JRAH
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.