Hammarby wins by more than 1.5 goals
Hammarby wins by more than 1.5 goals is priced at 22¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
22¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If Hammarby wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Hammarby vs Anderlecht professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Hammarby wins by more than 1.5 goals
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$207
Identifier
KXUELSPREAD-26JUL23HIFRSC-HIF2
Jul 23, 2026, 8:29 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
17¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$207
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 6, 2026
Family volume
$207
Orderbook snapshot
17 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Hammarby wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Hammarby vs Anderlecht professional Europa League soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 23, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 6, 2026
Identifier
KXUELSPREAD-26JUL23HIFRSC-HIF2
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$207
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Hammarby wins by more than 1.5 goals 22¢
Current share
100%
Hammarby wins by more than 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXUELSPREAD-26JUL23HIFRSC-HIF2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
sports
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.