How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting
2 is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 6 inside How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting.
Price history
18¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If there are exactly 2 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for Sep 16, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
2
Rank
#3 of 6
Leader
3 32¢
Range
6¢-32¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXFOMCDISSENTCOUNT-26SEP-2
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$2K
Family rank
#3 of 6
6 outcomes · How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting
Closes
Sep 16, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If there are exactly 2 dissenting votes at the next scheduled FOMC meeting (scheduled for Sep 16, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 16, 2026
Identifier
KXFOMCDISSENTCOUNT-26SEP-2
Event family
How many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
6
Highest price
3 32¢
Current share
99%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.