SimpleFunctions

Viking FK to win the second half

Viking FK to win the second half is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 96¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

50¢ current

50¢
Jul 18, 2026Jul 18, 2026

Contract brief

In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between IK Start and Viking FK, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "IK Start" if IK Start score more goals than Viking FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if IK Start and Viking FK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Viking FK" if Viking FK score more goals than IK Start in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Outcome

Viking FK to win the second half

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$0

Identifier

0x46c4f826...b501

Jul 18, 2026, 8:07 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 18, 2026, 8:07 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

98¢

Spread

96¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 98¢

Polymarket
96¢ spread
BidSize
100¢178
2¢5
AskSize
98¢5
99¢529

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between IK Start and Viking FK, scheduled for August 1, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "IK Start" if IK Start score more goals than Viking FK in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if IK Start and Viking FK score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Viking FK" if Viking FK score more goals than IK Start in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

0x46c4f826…b501

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Viking FK to win the second half 50¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.