SimpleFunctions

Yui Watanabe vs Misa Malkin for ITF Huamantla

ITF Huamantla: Yui Watanabe vs Misa Malkin is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 2¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 96¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

50¢ current

50¢
Jul 28, 2026Jul 28, 2026

Contract brief

This market refers to the tennis match between Yui Watanabe and Misa Malkin in the ITF Women Huamantla, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yui Watanabe' if Yui Watanabe advances against Misa Malkin. This market will resolve to 'Misa Malkin' if Misa Malkin advances against Yui Watanabe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

ITF Huamantla: Yui Watanabe vs Misa Malkin

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$0

Identifier

0xbd4c7d84...0eb8

Jul 28, 2026, 10:17 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 28, 2026, 10:17 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

98¢

Spread

96¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Aug 5, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 98¢

Polymarket
96¢ spread
BidSize
100¢5
2¢1.5K
AskSize
98¢1.5K
99¢5

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market refers to the tennis match between Yui Watanabe and Misa Malkin in the ITF Women Huamantla, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yui Watanabe' if Yui Watanabe advances against Misa Malkin. This market will resolve to 'Misa Malkin' if Misa Malkin advances against Yui Watanabe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 5, 2026

Identifier

0xbd4c7d84…0eb8

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

ITF Huamantla: Yui Watanabe vs Misa Malkin 50¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.