SimpleFunctions

Completed Match: Filippo Mazzola vs Mario Arce Fernandez for ITF Men Xativa

ITF Men Xativa: Completed Match: Filippo Mazzola vs Mario Arce Fernandez is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 99¢ ask, 98¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

50¢ current

50¢
Jul 28, 2026Jul 28, 2026

Contract brief

This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Mazzola and Mario Arce Fernandez in the ITF Men Xativa, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 11:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Outcome

ITF Men Xativa: Completed Match: Filippo Mazzola vs Mario Arce Fernandez

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$0

Identifier

0x9e7f297b...376c

Jul 28, 2026, 10:57 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 28, 2026, 10:57 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

99¢

Spread

98¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Aug 5, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

1 / 99¢

Polymarket
98¢ spread
BidSize
100¢5
AskSize
99¢5

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Mazzola and Mario Arce Fernandez in the ITF Men Xativa, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 11:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Aug 5, 2026

Identifier

0x9e7f297b…376c

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

ITF Men Xativa: Completed Match: Filippo Mazzola vs Mario Arce Fernandez 50¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.