Filippo Mazzola vs Mario Arce Fernandez for ITF Xativa
ITF Xativa: Filippo Mazzola vs Mario Arce Fernandez is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 68¢ bid, 78¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
50¢ current
Contract brief
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Mazzola and Mario Arce Fernandez in the ITF Men Xativa, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 11:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Mazzola' if Filippo Mazzola advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Filippo Mazzola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Outcome
ITF Xativa: Filippo Mazzola vs Mario Arce Fernandez
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$0
Identifier
0xb59585aa...7eab
Jul 28, 2026, 10:21 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
68¢
Ask
78¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 5, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
68 / 78¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market refers to the tennis match between Filippo Mazzola and Mario Arce Fernandez in the ITF Men Xativa, originally scheduled for July 29, 2026 at 11:45AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Filippo Mazzola' if Filippo Mazzola advances against Mario Arce Fernandez. This market will resolve to 'Mario Arce Fernandez' if Mario Arce Fernandez advances against Filippo Mazzola. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Aug 5, 2026
Identifier
0xb59585aa…7eab
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
1
Highest price
ITF Xativa: Filippo Mazzola vs Mario Arce Fernandez 50¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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