Josh Kelly vs Caoimhin Agyarko Winner
Josh Kelly vs Caoimhin Agyarko Winner is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
21¢ current
+19¢Contract brief
If Caoimhin Agyarko wins the Josh Kelly vs Caoimhin Agyarko boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Josh Kelly vs Caoimhin Agyarko Winner
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$16K
Identifier
KXBOXING-26JUL25KELLYAGYARK-AGYARK
Jul 25, 2026, 1:22 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
20¢
Ask
21¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$5K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Family volume
$16K
Orderbook snapshot
20 / 21¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Caoimhin Agyarko wins the Josh Kelly vs Caoimhin Agyarko boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Identifier
KXBOXING-26JUL25KELLYAGYARK-AGYARK
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$16K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Josh Kelly vs Caoimhin Agyarko Winner 21¢
Current share
100%
Josh Kelly vs Caoimhin Agyarko Winner
kalshi · KXBOXING-26JUL25KELLYAGYARK-AGYARK
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.