Kansas City to win Kansas City vs Minnesota
Kansas City is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Kansas City vs Minnesota Winner.
Price history
26¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If Kansas City wins the Kansas City vs Minnesota professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kansas City
Rank
#2 of 3
Leader
Minnesota 50¢
Range
23¢-50¢
Family volume
$604
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26JUL22SKCMIN-SKC
Jul 20, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 29m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
26¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$211
Family rank
#2 of 3
3 outcomes · Kansas City vs Minnesota Winner
Closes
Aug 6, 2026
Family volume
$604
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 26¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kansas City wins the Kansas City vs Minnesota professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 22, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 6, 2026
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26JUL22SKCMIN-SKC
Event family
Kansas City vs Minnesota Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$604
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Minnesota 50¢
Current share
35%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.