SimpleFunctions

Los Angeles L for Klay Thompson's next team before Oct 21, 2026

Los Angeles L: Los Angeles L is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside Klay Thompson's next team before Oct 21, 2026.

Price history

20¢ current

+15¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
Jul 31, 2026Aug 9, 2026

Contract brief

If Klay Thompson's next team is the Los Angeles L Pro Basketball team before Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Los Angeles L: Los Angeles L

Rank

#3 of 11

Leader

Philadelphia: Philadelphia 60¢

Range

1¢-60¢

Family volume

$443

Identifier

KXNBANEXTTEAM-26KTHOMPSON31-LAL

Aug 9, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

20¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 9, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

11¢

Ask

20¢

Spread

24h volume

$240

Family rank

#3 of 11

11 outcomes · Klay Thompson's next team before Oct 21, 2026

Closes

Oct 21, 2026

Family volume

$443

Orderbook snapshot

11 / 20¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
100¢36
11¢30
10¢982
3¢106
2¢1.1K
AskSize
20¢9
74¢28
75¢21
76¢8

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Klay Thompson's next team is the Los Angeles L Pro Basketball team before Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 21, 2026

Identifier

KXNBANEXTTEAM-26KTHOMPSON31-LAL

SF Signal
SF Index
4038.93
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

4038.9%

IY (No)

61.7%

Adj IY

4039%

CRI

8

RV

2829%

VR

4.78

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

4038.9%
61.7%
Adj IY
4039%
8
RV
2829%
VR
4.78
IAR
0.3/h
Overround
0.4%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.