Clersss vs Natalia MX Winner for La Velada del Año VI
Clersss is priced at 13¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 11¢ bid, 76¢ ask, 65¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX Winner.
Price history
13¢ current
Contract brief
If Clersss wins the La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Clersss
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Natalia MX 30¢
Range
11¢-30¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXBOXING-26JUL25CLERNMX-CLER
Jul 11, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
11¢
Ask
76¢
Spread
65¢
Reported volume
$128
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX Winner
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
11 / 76¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Clersss wins the La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Identifier
KXBOXING-26JUL25CLERNMX-CLER
Event family
La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Natalia MX 30¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.