SimpleFunctions

Lit Killah vs Kidd Keo Winner for La Velada del Año VI

Lit Killah is priced at 61¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 31¢ bid, 60¢ ask, 29¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside La Velada del Año VI: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keo Winner.

Price history

61¢ current

+59¢
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 22, 2026Jun 20, 2026

Contract brief

If Lit Killah wins the La Velada del Año VI: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keo boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Lit Killah

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

Kidd Keo 41¢

Range

31¢-41¢

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUL25LKILKKEO-LKIL

Jun 22, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

61¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 22, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

31¢

Ask

60¢

Spread

29¢

Reported volume

$648

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · La Velada del Año VI: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keo Winner

Closes

Aug 8, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

31 / 60¢

Kalshi
29¢ spread
BidSize
31¢1
26¢8
20¢49
15¢60
2¢739
AskSize
60¢1
62¢103
75¢319
90¢501
91¢821

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Lit Killah wins the La Velada del Año VI: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keo boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 8, 2026

Identifier

KXBOXING-26JUL25LKILKKEO-LKIL

SF Signal
SF Index
0.00
Regime
neutral

Event family

La Velada del Año VI: Lit Killah vs Kidd Keo Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

2

Highest price

Kidd Keo 41¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1697.2%
342.6%
Adj IY
0%
2
LAS
1.00

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.