Will Sergio Garcia finish top 5 for LIV Golf New York
Sergio Garcia is priced at 51¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 76¢ ask, 76¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 14 inside LIV Golf New York.
Price history
51¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Sergio Garcia finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf New York, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Sergio Garcia
Rank
#5 of 14
Leader
Harold Varner III 76¢
Range
1¢-76¢
Family volume
$223
Identifier
KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-SGAR
Aug 9, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 19m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
76¢
Spread
76¢
24h volume
$9
Family rank
#5 of 14
14 outcomes · LIV Golf New York
Closes
Sep 6, 2026
Family volume
$223
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 76¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sergio Garcia finishes in the top 5 (including ties) in the 2026 LIV Golf New York, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 6, 2026
Identifier
KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-SGAR
Event family
LIV Golf New York.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$223
Outcomes
14
Highest price
Harold Varner III 76¢
Current share
4%
Harold Varner III
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-HVAR
Lee Westwood
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-LWES
Joaquin Niemann
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-JNIE
Lucas Herbert
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-LHER
Sergio Garcia
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-SGAR
Jon Rahm
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-JRAH
Peter Uihlein
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-PUIH
Tyrrell Hatton
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-THAT
Ben Campbell
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-BCAM
Charles Howell III
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-CHOW
Michael La Sasso
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-MLAS
Dustin Johnson
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-DJOH
Cameron Smith
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-CSMI
Bryson DeChambeau
kalshi · KXLIVTOP5-YOR26-BDEC
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.