SimpleFunctions

Tie to win Los Angeles G vs Los Angeles F

Tie is priced at 26¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Los Angeles G vs Los Angeles F Winner.

Price history

26¢ current

+20¢
10¢20¢30¢
Jul 11, 2026Jul 13, 2026

Contract brief

If Tie is the result of the Los Angeles G vs Los Angeles F professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tie

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

Los Angeles F 39¢

Range

24¢-39¢

Family volume

$902

Identifier

KXMLSGAME-26JUL17LAGLAFC-TIE

Jul 14, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 16m ago

Implied probability

26¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 14, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 16m ago

Bid

24¢

Ask

25¢

Spread

24h volume

$7

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · Los Angeles G vs Los Angeles F Winner

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Family volume

$902

Orderbook snapshot

24 / 25¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
24¢573
23¢1.3K
22¢3.4K
21¢1.5K
20¢250
AskSize
25¢656
26¢644
27¢3.0K
28¢653
29¢45

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tie is the result of the Los Angeles G vs Los Angeles F professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 1, 2026

Identifier

KXMLSGAME-26JUL17LAGLAFC-TIE

SF Signal
SF Index
3201.22
Regime
neutral

Event family

Los Angeles G vs Los Angeles F Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$902

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Los Angeles F 39¢

Current share

1%

Browse this series

MLS Match Winner Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLSGAME series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

6402.4%

IY (No)

638.5%

Adj IY

3201%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

6402.4%
638.5%
Adj IY
3201%
3
Overround
-0.0%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.