Los Angeles to win Los Angeles vs Atlanta
Los Angeles is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 25¢ bid, 27¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Los Angeles vs Atlanta winner.
Price history
27¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Los Angeles wins the Los Angeles vs Atlanta women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Los Angeles
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Atlanta 74¢
Range
26¢-74¢
Family volume
$73K
Identifier
KXWNBAGAME-26JUL13LAATL-LA
Jul 13, 2026, 4:08 AM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
25¢
Ask
27¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$53K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Los Angeles vs Atlanta winner
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Family volume
$73K
Orderbook snapshot
25 / 27¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Los Angeles wins the Los Angeles vs Atlanta women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 27, 2026
Identifier
KXWNBAGAME-26JUL13LAATL-LA
Event family
Los Angeles vs Atlanta winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$73K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Atlanta 74¢
Current share
71%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 27% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.