SimpleFunctions

Los Angeles C wins by over 20.5 points

Los Angeles C wins by over 20.5 points is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 26¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC.

Price history

20¢ current

+16¢
0¢10¢20¢
Aug 4, 2026Aug 24, 2026

Contract brief

If Los Angeles C wins by more than 20.5 points in the Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Los Angeles C wins by over 20.5 points

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Los Angeles C wins by over 3.5 points 64¢

Range

2¢-64¢

Family volume

$13K

Identifier

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-LAC21

Aug 26, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 27m ago

Implied probability

20¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 26, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 27m ago

Bid

20¢

Ask

26¢

Spread

Reported volume

$16

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Family volume

$13K

Orderbook snapshot

20 / 26¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
20¢9
18¢904
17¢500
12¢38
8¢34
AskSize
26¢3.6K
29¢230
30¢1.4K
31¢2.5K
32¢1.7K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Los Angeles C wins by more than 20.5 points in the Arizona vs Los Angeles C Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Sep 15, 2026

Identifier

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC-LAC21

SF Signal
SF Index
3632.74
Regime
taker

Event family

KXNFLSPREAD-26SEP13ARILAC.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$13K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Los Angeles C wins by over 3.5 points 64¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7265.5%

IY (No)

454.1%

Adj IY

3633%

CRI

4

Overround

6.5%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

Full indicator table

7265.5%
454.1%
Adj IY
3633%
4
Overround
6.5%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.