SimpleFunctions

score or assist for Mehdi Taremi

Mehdi Taremi is priced at 30¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 19¢ bid, 31¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside KXWCSOA-26JUN26EGYIRI.

Price history

30¢ current

+22¢
10¢20¢30¢
Jun 25, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Mehdi Taremi records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Egypt vs IR Iran professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Mehdi Taremi

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

Mohamed Salah 37¢

Range

19¢-37¢

Family volume

$963

Identifier

KXWCSOA-26JUN26EGYIRI-IRIMTAREM99

Jun 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

30¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

19¢

Ask

31¢

Spread

12¢

24h volume

$86

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · KXWCSOA-26JUN26EGYIRI

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Family volume

$963

Orderbook snapshot

19 / 31¢

Kalshi
12¢ spread
BidSize
19¢500
18¢70
16¢140
14¢70
7¢1
AskSize
31¢500
32¢2.0K
33¢340
47¢1
54¢60

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Mehdi Taremi records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Egypt vs IR Iran professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Identifier

KXWCSOA-26JUN26EGYIRI-IRIMTAREM99

SF Signal
SF Index
5110.86
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXWCSOA-26JUN26EGYIRI.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$963

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Mohamed Salah 37¢

Current share

9%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

10221.7%

IY (No)

562.4%

Adj IY

5111%

CRI

4

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

10221.7%
562.4%
Adj IY
5111%
4
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.