Mercer wins: Mercer · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05PREMER
Mercer wins: Mercer is priced at 81¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 72¢ bid, 90¢ ask, 18¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05PREMER.
Price history
81¢ current
+74¢Contract brief
If Mercer wins the Presbyterian vs Mercer college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Mercer wins: Mercer
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Mercer wins: Mercer 72¢
Range
7¢-72¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05PREMER-MER
Aug 24, 2026, 3:38 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
72¢
Ask
90¢
Spread
18¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05PREMER
Closes
Sep 7, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
72 / 90¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Mercer wins the Presbyterian vs Mercer college football game originally scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 7, 2026
Identifier
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05PREMER-MER
Event family
KXNCAAFGAME-26SEP05PREMER.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Mercer wins: Mercer 72¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 81% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.