At least $2.0 billion · Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026?: At least $
At least $2.0 billion is priced at 85¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 79¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026?: At least $.
Price history
85¢ current
+14¢Contract brief
If Michael Saylor's net worth, as reported by Forbes on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List, is at least $2.0 billion at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
At least $2.0 billion
Rank
#1 of 9
Leader
At least $2.0 billion 79¢
Range
11¢-79¢
Family volume
$759
Identifier
KXNWSAYLOR-26-2.0
Jun 23, 2026, 4:38 PM UTC · 30m ago
Implied probability
Bid
79¢
Ask
80¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$34
Family rank
#1 of 9
9 outcomes · Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026?: At least $
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$759
Orderbook snapshot
79 / 80¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Michael Saylor's net worth, as reported by Forbes on the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List, is at least $2.0 billion at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXNWSAYLOR-26-2.0
Event family
Michael Saylor net worth on Dec 31, 2026?: At least $.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$759
Outcomes
9
Highest price
At least $2.0 billion 79¢
Current share
4%
At least $2.0 billion
kalshi · KXNWSAYLOR-26-2.0
At least $2.5 billion
kalshi · KXNWSAYLOR-26-2.5
At least $3.0 billion
kalshi · KXNWSAYLOR-26-3.0
At least $3.5 billion
kalshi · KXNWSAYLOR-26-3.5
At least $4.0 billion
kalshi · KXNWSAYLOR-26-4.0
At least $4.5 billion
kalshi · KXNWSAYLOR-26-4.5
At least $5.0 billion
kalshi · KXNWSAYLOR-26-5.0
At least $5.5 billion
kalshi · KXNWSAYLOR-26-5.5
At least $6.0 billion
kalshi · KXNWSAYLOR-26-6.0
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 85% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.