Mike Johnson out as Speaker by June 30?
This contract is priced at 9¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 8¢ bid, 10¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$7K
Best sibling
December 31, 2026 32¢
Ticker
0xef416cfd…e2c5
Price history
9¢ current
+2¢Orderbook snapshot
8 / 10¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Mike Johnson announces that he will resign from his position as Speaker of the US House of Representatives, or otherwise ceases to be Speaker for any length of time, between December 4, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note that an announcement of his resignation before the resolution date will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of if/when he actually steps down. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United States of America or official statements by Mike Johnson or his representative, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 30, 2026
Identifier
0xef416cfd…e2c5
Event family
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$7K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
December 31, 2026 32¢
Current share
65%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.432
Observability
medium
Event type
unknown
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