Juarez to win Monterrey vs Juarez
Juarez is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 20¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Monterrey vs Juarez Winner.
Price history
18¢ current
+6¢Contract brief
If Juarez wins the Monterrey vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Juarez
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Monterrey 62¢
Range
17¢-62¢
Family volume
$2K
Identifier
KXLIGAMXGAME-26AUG15MONJUA-JUA
Aug 7, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
17¢
Ask
20¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$651
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Monterrey vs Juarez Winner
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Family volume
$2K
Orderbook snapshot
17 / 20¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Juarez wins the Monterrey vs Juarez professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Identifier
KXLIGAMXGAME-26AUG15MONJUA-JUA
Event family
Monterrey vs Juarez Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Monterrey 62¢
Current share
33%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.