Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards
Beef is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 6¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 10 inside Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards.
Price history
2¢ current
Contract brief
If Beef wins the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Beef
Rank
#6 of 10
Leader
Widow's Bay 59¢
Range
1¢-59¢
Family volume
$452
Identifier
KXMOSTWINSEMMYS-26B-BEE
Aug 8, 2026, 5:03 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
6¢
Spread
6¢
Reported volume
$5K
Family rank
#6 of 10
10 outcomes · Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Family volume
$452
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 6¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Beef wins the most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards, the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2027
Identifier
KXMOSTWINSEMMYS-26B-BEE
Event family
Most awards at the 78th Emmy Awards.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$452
Outcomes
10
Highest price
Widow's Bay 59¢
Current share
0%
Widow's Bay
kalshi · KXMOSTWINSEMMYS-26B-WID
The Pitt
kalshi · KXMOSTWINSEMMYS-26B-PIT
The Apple Music Super Bowl LX Halftime Show Starring Bad Bunny
kalshi · KXMOSTWINSEMMYS-26B-APP
Pluribus
kalshi · KXMOSTWINSEMMYS-26B-PLU
Spider-Noir
kalshi · KXMOSTWINSEMMYS-26B-SPI
Beef
kalshi · KXMOSTWINSEMMYS-26B-BEE
Hacks
kalshi · KXMOSTWINSEMMYS-26B-HAC
The Beast In Me
kalshi · KXMOSTWINSEMMYS-26B-BEA
DTF St. Louis
kalshi · KXMOSTWINSEMMYS-26B-DTF
Saturday Night Live
kalshi · KXMOSTWINSEMMYS-26B-SAT
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
cultural
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 2% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.