Reg Time: Tie · Munster vs Karlsruhe Winner?: Reg Time
Reg Time: Tie is priced at 43¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 5¢ bid, 80¢ ask, 75¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Munster vs Karlsruhe Winner?: Reg Time.
Price history
43¢ current
Contract brief
If Tie is the result of the Munster vs Karlsruhe professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Reg Time: Tie
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Reg Time: Tie 5¢
Range
5¢-5¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXDFBPOKALGAME-26AUG21PMUKSC-TIE
Aug 10, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 1h ago
Implied probability
Bid
5¢
Ask
80¢
Spread
75¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Munster vs Karlsruhe Winner?: Reg Time
Closes
Aug 23, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
5 / 80¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Tie is the result of the Munster vs Karlsruhe professional DFB Pokal soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 23, 2026
Identifier
KXDFBPOKALGAME-26AUG21PMUKSC-TIE
Event family
Munster vs Karlsruhe Winner?: Reg Time.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Reg Time: Tie 5¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 43% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.