SimpleFunctions

Tie to win Necaxa vs Monterrey

Tie is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 23¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Necaxa vs Monterrey Winner.

Price history

24¢ current

+2¢
25¢
Jul 16, 2026Jul 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Tie is the result of the Necaxa vs Monterrey professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tie

Rank

#3 of 3

Leader

Monterrey 47¢

Range

23¢-47¢

Family volume

$44K

Identifier

KXLIGAMXGAME-26JUL26NCXMON-TIE

Jul 25, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

24¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 25, 2026, 11:38 AM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

23¢

Ask

24¢

Spread

24h volume

$3K

Family rank

#3 of 3

3 outcomes · Necaxa vs Monterrey Winner

Closes

Aug 9, 2026

Family volume

$44K

Orderbook snapshot

23 / 24¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
23¢16K
22¢8.7K
21¢7.0K
20¢1.9K
19¢100
AskSize
24¢44K
25¢44K
26¢4.0K
27¢6.6K
28¢3.0K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tie is the result of the Necaxa vs Monterrey professional Liga MX soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 26, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 9, 2026

Identifier

KXLIGAMXGAME-26JUL26NCXMON-TIE

SF Signal
SF Index
3948.67
Regime
neutral

Event family

Necaxa vs Monterrey Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$44K

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Monterrey 47¢

Current share

7%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

7897.3%

IY (No)

704.6%

Adj IY

3949%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

7897.3%
704.6%
Adj IY
3949%
3
Overround
-0.0%

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Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.