New York City to win New York City vs Philadelphia
New York City is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside New York City vs Philadelphia Winner.
Price history
45¢ current
−7¢Contract brief
If New York City wins the New York City vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
New York City
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
New York City 44¢
Range
25¢-44¢
Family volume
$376
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26AUG16NYCPHI-NYC
Aug 8, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
44¢
Ask
45¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$21
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · New York City vs Philadelphia Winner
Closes
Aug 19, 2026
Family volume
$376
Orderbook snapshot
44 / 45¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If New York City wins the New York City vs Philadelphia professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 19, 2026
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26AUG16NYCPHI-NYC
Event family
New York City vs Philadelphia Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$376
Outcomes
3
Highest price
New York City 44¢
Current share
6%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.