SimpleFunctions

1+ goals for Nicolas Jackson

Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goals: Nicolas Jackson: 1+ is priced at 40¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 41¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 8 inside KXWCGOAL-26JUN26SENIRQ.

Price history

40¢ current

+13¢
30¢40¢
Jun 24, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Nicolas Jackson records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Senegal vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goals: Nicolas Jackson: 1+

Rank

#1 of 8

Leader

Nicolas Jackson: 1+ goals: Nicolas Jackson: 1+ 39¢

Range

1¢-39¢

Family volume

$4K

Identifier

KXWCGOAL-26JUN26SENIRQ-SENNJACKS11-1

Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 20m ago

Implied probability

40¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 20m ago

Bid

40¢

Ask

41¢

Spread

24h volume

$1K

Family rank

#1 of 8

8 outcomes · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26SENIRQ

Closes

Jul 10, 2026

Family volume

$4K

Orderbook snapshot

40 / 41¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
40¢3
39¢3
38¢99
27¢658
26¢42
AskSize
41¢190
42¢113
43¢26
44¢39
45¢52

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Nicolas Jackson records at least 1 goal during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Senegal vs Iraq professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 10, 2026

Identifier

KXWCGOAL-26JUN26SENIRQ-SENNJACKS11-1

SF Signal
SF Index
1822.67
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3645.3%

IY (No)

1490.1%

Adj IY

1823%

CRI

2

Overround

0.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3645.3%
1490.1%
Adj IY
1823%
2
Overround
0.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.