SimpleFunctions

Oklahoma City wins: Oklahoma City · KXNBAGAME-26OCT20OKCSAS

Oklahoma City wins: Oklahoma City is priced at 49¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 44¢ bid, 50¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNBAGAME-26OCT20OKCSAS.

Price history

49¢ current

+34¢
25¢50¢
Aug 20, 2026Aug 23, 2026

Contract brief

If Oklahoma City wins the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Oklahoma City wins: Oklahoma City

Rank

#2 of 2

Leader

San Antonio wins: San Antonio 49¢

Range

44¢-49¢

Family volume

$91

Identifier

KXNBAGAME-26OCT20OKCSAS-OKC

Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 5m ago

Implied probability

49¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 24, 2026, 3:08 AM UTC · 5m ago

Bid

44¢

Ask

50¢

Spread

24h volume

$71

Family rank

#2 of 2

2 outcomes · KXNBAGAME-26OCT20OKCSAS

Closes

Oct 23, 2026

Family volume

$91

Orderbook snapshot

44 / 50¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
44¢465
42¢10
41¢20
40¢1
23¢3
AskSize
50¢319
51¢1.7K
52¢1.4K
53¢1.2K
54¢300

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Oklahoma City wins the Oklahoma City vs San Antonio Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 23, 2026

Identifier

KXNBAGAME-26OCT20OKCSAS-OKC

SF Signal
SF Index
775.13
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXNBAGAME-26OCT20OKCSAS.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$91

Outcomes

2

Highest price

San Antonio wins: San Antonio 49¢

Current share

77%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

775.1%

IY (No)

478.5%

Adj IY

775%

CRI

1

RV

3697%

VR

6.01

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

775.1%
478.5%
Adj IY
775%
1
RV
3697%
VR
6.01
IAR
1.1/h

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.