SimpleFunctions

2+ goals for Pedri

Pedri: 2+ goals: Pedri: 2+ is priced at 3¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #7 of 11 inside KXWCGOAL-26JUN26URUESP.

Price history

3¢ current

0¢5¢
Jun 25, 2026Jun 25, 2026

Contract brief

If Pedri records at least 2 goals during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Pedri: 2+ goals: Pedri: 2+

Rank

#7 of 11

Leader

Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals: Lamine Yamal: 1+ 35¢

Range

1¢-35¢

Family volume

$18K

Identifier

KXWCGOAL-26JUN26URUESP-ESPPEDR8-2

Jun 25, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Implied probability

3¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 25, 2026, 7:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Bid

Ask

15¢

Spread

15¢

24h volume

$13

Family rank

#7 of 11

11 outcomes · KXWCGOAL-26JUN26URUESP

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Family volume

$18K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 15¢

Kalshi
15¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
15¢210
40¢13
43¢11
68¢50
72¢100

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Pedri records at least 2 goals during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 11, 2026

Identifier

KXWCGOAL-26JUN26URUESP-ESPPEDR8-2

SF Signal
SF Index
37630.47
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

75260.9%

IY (No)

72.0%

Adj IY

37630%

CRI

32

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

75260.9%
72.0%
Adj IY
37630%
32
Overround
-0.2%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.