Philadelphia wins: Philadelphia · KXNBAGAME-26OCT20PHINYK
Philadelphia wins: Philadelphia is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 38¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside KXNBAGAME-26OCT20PHINYK.
Price history
38¢ current
+24¢Contract brief
If Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia vs New York Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Philadelphia wins: Philadelphia
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
New York wins: New York 64¢
Range
35¢-64¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXNBAGAME-26OCT20PHINYK-PHI
Aug 26, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 50m ago
Implied probability
Bid
35¢
Ask
38¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$984
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · KXNBAGAME-26OCT20PHINYK
Closes
Oct 22, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
35 / 38¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Philadelphia wins the Philadelphia vs New York Pro Basketball game originally scheduled for Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Oct 22, 2026
Identifier
KXNBAGAME-26OCT20PHINYK-PHI
Event family
KXNBAGAME-26OCT20PHINYK.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
New York wins: New York 64¢
Current share
80%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.