Phoenix to win Phoenix vs Minnesota
Phoenix is priced at 14¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 14¢ bid, 15¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Phoenix vs Minnesota winner.
Price history
14¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Phoenix wins the Phoenix vs Minnesota women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Phoenix
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
Minnesota 85¢
Range
13¢-85¢
Family volume
$6K
Identifier
KXWNBAGAME-26JUL13PHXMIN-PHX
Jul 12, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
14¢
Ask
15¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$4K
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Phoenix vs Minnesota winner
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Family volume
$6K
Orderbook snapshot
14 / 15¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Phoenix wins the Phoenix vs Minnesota women's professional basketball game originally scheduled for Jul 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 28, 2026
Identifier
KXWNBAGAME-26JUL13PHXMIN-PHX
Event family
Phoenix vs Minnesota winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Minnesota 85¢
Current share
58%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 14% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.