Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw is priced at 13¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 12¢ bid, 13¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
13¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 23, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Outcome
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$162K
Identifier
0x3dac1c6e...2617
Jun 23, 2026, 6:08 AM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
12¢
Ask
13¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$105K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jun 23, 2026
Family volume
$162K
Orderbook snapshot
12 / 13¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 23, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 23, 2026
Identifier
0x3dac1c6e…2617
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$162K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw 13¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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Event Probability API
Read 13% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.