SimpleFunctions
KalshiJul 14, 202672 days left

Pro basketball top 10 draft picks in 2026?

This contract is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 33¢ bid, 39¢ ask, 6¢ spread.

Implied probability

50¢
$8K volume
$4K liquidity
6267% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$130

Best sibling

Brayden Burries 67¢

Ticker

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-10-NAME

Price history

50¢ current

+17¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026Apr 30, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

33 / 39¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
33¢250
22¢250
12¢250
8¢47
7¢1.4K
AskSize
39¢105
40¢500
41¢250
50¢250
53¢250

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Nate Ament is drafted top 10 in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 14, 2026

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-10-NAME

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1029.3%

IY (No)

249.7%

Adj IY

421%

CRI

2

Overround

8.7%

LAS

0.18

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1029.3%
249.7%
Adj IY
421%
2
Overround
8.7%
LAS
0.18

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Opinionanalysis

Implied Yield vs Raw Probability: Why Bond-Adjacent Prediction Markets Need a Different Lens

Why fixed-income-adjacent prediction-market contracts need to be priced in implied yield, not raw probability, with two real Kalshi Fed-decision contracts as a case study.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index