By 2026 · KXPS6-26
By 2026 is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
10¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Sony announces the PS6 before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
By 2026
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$222
Identifier
KXPS6-26-DEC31
Aug 26, 2026, 4:08 PM UTC · 17m ago
Implied probability
Bid
10¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$216
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$222
Orderbook snapshot
10 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Sony announces the PS6 before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXPS6-26-DEC31
Event family
KXPS6-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$222
Outcomes
1
Highest price
By 2026 9¢
Current share
100%
By 2026
kalshi · KXPS6-26-DEC31
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
cultural
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 10% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.