Dresden To Advance for Rhynern vs Dresden
Dresden To Advance: Dresden advances is priced at 92¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 39¢ bid, 54¢ ask, 15¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside Rhynern vs Dresden.
Price history
92¢ current
+89¢Contract brief
If Dresden advance past Rhynern in the Rhynern vs Dresden soccer tie in the Round 1 of the DFB Pokal, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Dresden To Advance: Dresden advances
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Dresden To Advance: Dresden advances 32¢
Range
3¢-32¢
Family volume
$634
Identifier
KXDFBPOKALADVANCE-26AUG23WESSGD-SGD
Aug 9, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 27m ago
Implied probability
Bid
39¢
Ask
54¢
Spread
15¢
24h volume
$634
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · Rhynern vs Dresden
Closes
Sep 20, 2026
Family volume
$634
Orderbook snapshot
39 / 54¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Dresden advance past Rhynern in the Rhynern vs Dresden soccer tie in the Round 1 of the DFB Pokal, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 20, 2026
Identifier
KXDFBPOKALADVANCE-26AUG23WESSGD-SGD
Event family
Rhynern vs Dresden.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$634
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Dresden To Advance: Dresden advances 32¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.