SimpleFunctions

$1.07991 or above · Ripple price at Jul 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $

$1.07991 or above is priced at 38¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 37¢ bid, 43¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #13 of 16 inside Ripple price at Jul 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $.

Price history

38¢ current

20¢
25¢50¢
Jul 10, 2026Jul 14, 2026

Contract brief

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 1.0799 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

$1.07991 or above

Rank

#13 of 16

Leader

$0.61991 or above 98¢

Range

2¢-98¢

Family volume

$467

Identifier

KXXRPD-26JUL1717-T1.0799

Jul 14, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

38¢
Latest venue quote
Jul 14, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

37¢

Ask

43¢

Spread

24h volume

$265

Family rank

#13 of 16

16 outcomes · Ripple price at Jul 17, 2026 at 5pm EDT?: $

Closes

Jul 17, 2026

Family volume

$467

Orderbook snapshot

37 / 43¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
37¢200
34¢5.0K
12¢266
11¢744
3¢6.6K
AskSize
43¢449
45¢5.0K
77¢304
90¢5
92¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ripple-Dollar Real Time Index (XRPUSD_RTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 1.0799 at 5 PM EDT on Jul 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 17, 2026

Identifier

KXXRPD-26JUL1717-T1.0799

SF Signal
SF Index
16415.39
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

CRI

2

VR

0.60

IAR

1.6/h

Overround

18.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

2
VR
0.60
IAR
1.6/h
Overround
18.3%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.