score or assist for Rodri
Rodri is priced at 15¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 5 inside KXWCSOA-26JUN26URUESP.
Price history
15¢ current
+13¢Contract brief
If Rodri records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Rodri
Rank
#4 of 5
Leader
Lamine Yamal 43¢
Range
7¢-43¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXWCSOA-26JUN26URUESP-ESPRODR16
Jun 25, 2026, 9:38 PM UTC · 5m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
21¢
Spread
12¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#4 of 5
5 outcomes · KXWCSOA-26JUN26URUESP
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 21¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rodri records a goal or assist during the entire game (regulation, stoppage and any extra time periods) of the Uruguay vs Spain professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for Jun 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 11, 2026
Identifier
KXWCSOA-26JUN26URUESP-ESPRODR16
Event family
KXWCSOA-26JUN26URUESP.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
5
Highest price
Lamine Yamal 43¢
Current share
0%
Lamine Yamal
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUN26URUESP-ESPLYAMAL10
Pedri
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUN26URUESP-ESPPEDR8
Darwin Nunez
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUN26URUESP-URUDNUNEZ7
Rodri
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUN26URUESP-ESPRODR16
Federico Valverde
kalshi · KXWCSOA-26JUN26URUESP-URUFVALVE8
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 15% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.