SimpleFunctions

Retires / No Team for Russell Westbrook's next team before Oct 21, 2026

Retires / No Team: Retires / No Team is priced at 29¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 16 inside Russell Westbrook's next team before Oct 21, 2026.

Price history

29¢ current

+28¢
0¢25¢50¢
Jul 26, 2026Aug 9, 2026

Contract brief

If Russell Westbrook's officially retires or is not signed to any team before Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Retires / No Team: Retires / No Team

Rank

#1 of 16

Leader

Retires / No Team: Retires / No Team 24¢

Range

1¢-24¢

Family volume

$933

Identifier

KXNBANEXTTEAM-26RWESTBROOK18-NONE

Aug 9, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 27m ago

Implied probability

29¢
Latest venue quote
Aug 9, 2026, 6:08 PM UTC · 27m ago

Bid

24¢

Ask

29¢

Spread

24h volume

$419

Family rank

#1 of 16

16 outcomes · Russell Westbrook's next team before Oct 21, 2026

Closes

Oct 21, 2026

Family volume

$933

Orderbook snapshot

24 / 29¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
24¢274
23¢21
22¢22
21¢45
20¢821
AskSize
29¢1
30¢257
31¢7
32¢4
45¢10

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Russell Westbrook's officially retires or is not signed to any team before Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 21, 2026

Identifier

KXNBANEXTTEAM-26RWESTBROOK18-NONE

SF Signal
SF Index
798.12
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1596.2%

IY (No)

159.2%

Adj IY

798%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.1%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1596.2%
159.2%
Adj IY
798%
3
Overround
-0.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.