Kansas City to win Saint Louis vs Kansas City
Kansas City is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 14¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 3 inside Saint Louis vs Kansas City Winner.
Price history
15¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Kansas City wins the Saint Louis vs Kansas City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Kansas City
Rank
#3 of 3
Leader
Saint Louis 67¢
Range
13¢-67¢
Family volume
$326
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26JUL16STLSKC-SKC
Jul 14, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 22m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$80
Family rank
#3 of 3
3 outcomes · Saint Louis vs Kansas City Winner
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Family volume
$326
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 14¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Kansas City wins the Saint Louis vs Kansas City professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Jul 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 31, 2026
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26JUL16STLSKC-SKC
Event family
Saint Louis vs Kansas City Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$326
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Saint Louis 67¢
Current share
25%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.