Salt Lake to win Salt Lake vs Minnesota
Salt Lake is priced at 56¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 55¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 3 inside Salt Lake vs Minnesota Winner.
Price history
56¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Salt Lake wins the Salt Lake vs Minnesota professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Salt Lake
Rank
#1 of 3
Leader
Salt Lake 55¢
Range
21¢-55¢
Family volume
$189
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26AUG15RSLMIN-RSL
Aug 7, 2026, 3:08 PM UTC · 1m ago
Implied probability
Bid
55¢
Ask
56¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$80
Family rank
#1 of 3
3 outcomes · Salt Lake vs Minnesota Winner
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Family volume
$189
Orderbook snapshot
55 / 56¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Salt Lake wins the Salt Lake vs Minnesota professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 18, 2026
Identifier
KXMLSGAME-26AUG15RSLMIN-RSL
Event family
Salt Lake vs Minnesota Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$189
Outcomes
3
Highest price
Salt Lake 55¢
Current share
42%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.