Schott Mainz To Advance for Schott Mainz vs M´gladbach
Schott Mainz To Advance: Schott Mainz advances is priced at 42¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 79¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 2 inside Schott Mainz vs M´gladbach.
Price history
42¢ current
+39¢Contract brief
If Schott Mainz advance past M´gladbach in the Schott Mainz vs M´gladbach soccer tie in the Round 1 of the DFB Pokal, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Schott Mainz To Advance: Schott Mainz advances
Rank
#2 of 2
Leader
M´gladbach To Advance: M´gladbach advances 66¢
Range
3¢-66¢
Family volume
$7
Identifier
KXDFBPOKALADVANCE-26AUG23SCMBMG-SCM
Aug 11, 2026, 2:08 AM UTC · 2h ago
Implied probability
Bid
2¢
Ask
81¢
Spread
79¢
Reported volume
$0
Family rank
#2 of 2
2 outcomes · Schott Mainz vs M´gladbach
Closes
Sep 20, 2026
Family volume
$7
Orderbook snapshot
2 / 81¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Schott Mainz advance past M´gladbach in the Schott Mainz vs M´gladbach soccer tie in the Round 1 of the DFB Pokal, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 20, 2026
Identifier
KXDFBPOKALADVANCE-26AUG23SCMBMG-SCM
Event family
Schott Mainz vs M´gladbach.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$7
Outcomes
2
Highest price
M´gladbach To Advance: M´gladbach advances 66¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.