SimpleFunctions

SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Saga Ballooners

SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Saga Ballooners is priced at 50¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 3¢ bid, 97¢ ask, 94¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

50¢ current

50¢
Oct 25, 2026Oct 25, 2026

Contract brief

In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for November 1 at 1:05AM ET: If the SeaHorses Mikawa win, the market will resolve to "SeaHorses Mikawa". If the Saga Ballooners win, the market will resolve to "Saga Ballooners". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Outcome

SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Saga Ballooners

Rank

Standalone

Leader

—

Range

—

Family volume

$0

Identifier

0x259c34d3...3a00

Oct 25, 2026, 7:40 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

50¢
Latest venue quote
Oct 25, 2026, 7:40 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

3¢

Ask

97¢

Spread

94¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

3 / 97¢

Polymarket
94¢ spread
BidSize
100¢235
3¢24
2¢1.5K
AskSize
97¢24
98¢1.5K
99¢235

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

In the upcoming Japan B League game, scheduled for November 1 at 1:05AM ET: If the SeaHorses Mikawa win, the market will resolve to "SeaHorses Mikawa". If the Saga Ballooners win, the market will resolve to "Saga Ballooners". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Nov 8, 2026

Identifier

0x259c34d3…3a00

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

SeaHorses Mikawa vs. Saga Ballooners 50¢

Current share

—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.