SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

2026 U.S. House Race Winner Markets

Kalshi contracts on the winning party for each 2026 U.S. House race by congressional district. This page is the per-series collection canonical — for the term-structure / analytics view of the same prefix see yield curve analytics.

What this hub contains: every Kalshi contract whose ticker belongs to the KXHOUSERACE series. What it does not contain: Polymarket contracts (they do not share the Kalshi series prefix taxonomy) and per-question aggregates (see /odds).

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

Live contracts

604

Venue

Kalshi

Refresh

5 min

Top markets in 2026 U.S. House Race Winner Markets

Sorted by 24-hour USD volume. Showing top 20 of 604 (page caps at 500 for safety).

ContractPrice
Will Democratic win the House race for AR-01?: Democratic party[K]
5¢
Will Republican win the House race for AR-01?: Republican party[K]
95¢
Will Democratic win the House race for VA-05?: Democratic party[K]
19¢
Will Republican win the House race for FL-25?: Republican party[K]
30¢
Will Republican win the House race for TX-23?: Brandon Herrera[K]
71¢
Will Democratic win the House race for LA-02?: Democratic party[K]
57¢
Will Republican win the House race for FL-05?: Republican party[K]
84¢
Will Democratic win the House race for AL-02?: Democratic party[K]
57¢
Will Republican win the House race for LA-06?: Republican party[K]
32¢
Will Republican win the House race for TN-05?: Republican party[K]
78¢
Will Democratic win the House race for NM-01?: Democratic party[K]
92¢
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-25?: Democratic party[K]
69¢
Will Republican win the House race for AL-02?: Republican party[K]
41¢
Will Republican win the House race for SC-06?: Republican party[K]
52¢
Will Republican win the House race for FL-09?: Republican party[K]
59¢
Will Republican win the House race for TX-24?: Republican party[K]
77¢
Will Republican win the House race for WI-06?: Republican party[K]
82¢
Will Democratic win the House race for TN-09?: Democratic party[K]
14¢
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-01?: Democratic party[K]
9¢
Will Democratic win the House race for FL-27?: Democratic party[K]
32¢

Showing top 20 of 604 markets in this hub.

Other series

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 11 May 2026 19:53:54 GMT.

Term-structure view

Probability vs tenor curve for the same series. Distinct intent — analytics, not navigation. /yield-curves/KXHOUSERACE →

Category view

All Kalshi Elections markets. /markets/category/elections →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →