SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Elections Prediction Markets

Live Kalshi prediction-market contracts classified under Elections. This page is the per-category canonical entry — for the full mixed-venue index see /markets, or use /screen for interactive filters.

What this hub contains: every Kalshi contract whose category field equals “Elections”. What it does not contain: Polymarket contracts (their venue does not currently classify into this taxonomy) and questions aggregated across multiple contracts (see /odds).

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

Live contracts

9,340

Venue

Kalshi

Refresh

5 min

Top markets in Elections

Sorted by 24-hour USD volume. Each row links to the per-market page with the full indicator stack.

ContractPrice
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?: Spencer Pratt[K]
30¢
Will Republicans win the House in 2026?: Republican Party[K]
24¢
Will Democrats win the House in 2026?: Democratic Party[K]
75¢
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?: Nithya Raman[K]
16¢
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-4?: Thomas Massie[K]
68¢
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-4?: Ed Gallrein[K]
31¢
Who will win the next presidential election?: Pete Buttigieg[K]
3¢
Who will win the governorship in California?: Steve Hilton[K]
9¢
Who will win Los Angeles Mayoral Election?: Karen Bass[K]
52¢
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for the Senate in Georgia?: Derek Dooley[K]
37¢
Will Rahm Emanuel be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?: Rahm Emanuel[K]
5¢
Who will win the governorship in California?: Tom Steyer[K]
26¢
Who will win the governorship in California?: Chad Bianco[K]
3¢
Who will win the governorship in California?: Matt Mahan[K]
4¢
Will Josh Shapiro be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?: Josh Shapiro[K]
5¢
Who will win the governorship in California?: Xavier Becerra[K]
53¢
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?: James Fishback[K]
9¢
Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?: Mark Kelly[K]
3¢
Will Tucker Carlson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?: Tucker Carlson[K]
6¢
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?: Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez[K]
8¢

Showing top 20 of 9,340 markets in this hub.

Other categories

Sports(9,842)Entertainment(2,951)Economics(2,006)Politics(1,089)Commodities(552)Climate and Weather(439)Mentions(431)Crypto(352)

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 11 May 2026 17:53:55 GMT.

Per-question aggregates

Cross-venue questions that bind Kalshi and Polymarket contracts. /odds →

Filter and explore

IY, CRI, τ, RV/VR/IAR cuts on every active market. /screen →

Per-venue view

All markets on a single exchange. /markets/venue/kalshi →