SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

MLB Player Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop Markets — 6 contracts, SF signal on every row.

6 live Kalshi contracts (131 audited). Median implied probability sits at 45%. 5 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXMLBHRR-26JUN062210LAALAD-LADSOHTANI17-1 +80c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Fit: mean deviation 15.8pp · cheapest KXMLBHRR-26JUN062210LAALAD-LADSOHTANI17-5 · richest KXMLBHRR-26JUN062210LAALAD-LADSOHTANI17-1.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXMLBHRR.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXMLBHRR
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXMLBHRR
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXMLBHRR",
    "label": "MLB Player Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 6,
    "volume24hSum": 1000,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": {
    "seriesType": "unknown",
    "hazardRate": 0.15287
  }
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 06 Jun 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100-96526.0
Vol Flow$1.0K-100%
min $0max $46.7K
Breadth100%+53.6pp
min -20%max 100%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 07:30 UTC
May 30past 7d · UTCJun 6 · 06:23

Live contracts

6

Median IY

45¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$1.0K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+80¢

KXMLBHRR-26JUN062210LAALAD-LADSOHTANI17-1

MLB Player Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop Markets — liquidity topography (top 2 of 6 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 5898.0 → 23559.7%

$10$100$1,0001d7d23559.714728.85898.0

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in MLB Player Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop Markets

Showing top 6 of 6

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Shohei Ohtani: 2+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Shohei Ohtani: 2+62¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$500
Shohei Ohtani: 4+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Shohei Ohtani: 4+29¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$500
Shohei Ohtani: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Shohei Ohtani: 1+80¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Shohei Ohtani: 3+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Shohei Ohtani: 3+45¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Shohei Ohtani: 5+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Shohei Ohtani: 5+19¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+44¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
6 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in MLB Player Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop Markets

From market_changes
2h agoKalshi
Shohei Ohtani: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Shohei Ohtani: 1+
81¢1→81 (+80)
open →
2h agoKalshi
Shohei Ohtani: 2+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Shohei Ohtani: 2+
64¢1→64 (+63)
open →
2h agoKalshi
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Fernando Tatis Jr.: 2+
44¢1→44 (+43)
open →
2h agoKalshi
Shohei Ohtani: 4+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Shohei Ohtani: 4+
32¢1→32 (+31)
open →
50m agoKalshi
Shohei Ohtani: 3+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Shohei Ohtani: 3+
43¢48→43 (-5)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 06 Jun 2026 07:08:23 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXMLBHRR →

Category view

All Kalshi Sports markets. /markets/category/sports →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →