SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

MLB Player Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop Markets — 15 contracts, SF signal on every row.

15 live Kalshi contracts (131 audited). Median implied probability sits at 30%. 121 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXMLBHRR-26MAY241610WSHATL-ATLRACUNA13-1 +72c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Fit: mean deviation 25.9pp · richest KXMLBHRR-26MAY241920TEXLAA-TEXBNIMMO24-1.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXMLBHRR.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXMLBHRR
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXMLBHRR
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXMLBHRR",
    "label": "MLB Player Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 15,
    "volume24hSum": 25,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": {
    "seriesType": "unknown",
    "hazardRate": 0.02704
  }
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 24 May 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100+4557.0
Vol Flow$25+186%
min $0max $11.5K
Breadth100%+6.5pp
min -19%max 100%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 12:00 UTC
May 17past 7d · UTCMay 24 · 10:23

Live contracts

15

Median IY

30¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$25

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+72¢

KXMLBHRR-26MAY241610WSHATL-ATLRACUNA13-1

MLB Player Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop Markets — liquidity topography (top 2 of 15 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 11339.7 → 51105.8%

$101d7d51105.831222.811339.7

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in MLB Player Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop Markets

Showing top 15 of 15

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Mike Trout: 4+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Mike Trout: 4+17¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$24
Brandon Nimmo: 2+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Brandon Nimmo: 2+48¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$1
Jo Adell: 3+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Jo Adell: 3+32¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Jo Adell: 4+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Jo Adell: 4+20¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Jo Adell: 5+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Jo Adell: 5+11¢
IY >999%Cliff 8Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Mike Trout: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Mike Trout: 1+70¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Mike Trout: 2+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Mike Trout: 2+46¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Mike Trout: 3+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Mike Trout: 3+30¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Mike Trout: 5+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Mike Trout: 5+9¢
IY >999%Cliff 10Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Brandon Nimmo: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Brandon Nimmo: 1+70¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Brandon Nimmo: 3+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Brandon Nimmo: 3+29¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Brandon Nimmo: 4+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Brandon Nimmo: 4+16¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Jo Adell: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Jo Adell: 1+68¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Brandon Nimmo: 5+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Brandon Nimmo: 5+9¢
IY >999%Cliff 10Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
Jo Adell: 2+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Jo Adell: 2+48¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$0
15 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in MLB Player Hits + Runs + RBIs Prop Markets

From market_changes
3h agoKalshi
Ronald Acuña Jr.: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Ronald Acuña Jr.: 1+
76¢4→76 (+72)
open →
4h agoKalshi
Shohei Ohtani: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Shohei Ohtani: 1+
75¢4→75 (+71)
open →
6h agoKalshi
James Wood: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: James Wood: 1+
1¢71→1 (-70)
open →
4h agoKalshi
Mookie Betts: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Mookie Betts: 1+
74¢4→74 (+70)
open →
6h agoKalshi
James Wood: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: James Wood: 1+
71¢2→71 (+69)
open →
4h agoKalshi
Freddie Freeman: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Freddie Freeman: 1+
73¢4→73 (+69)
open →
3h agoKalshi
Matt Olson: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: Matt Olson: 1+
73¢4→73 (+69)
open →
5h agoKalshi
James Wood: 1+ hits + runs + RBIs?: James Wood: 1+
70¢2→70 (+68)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 24 May 2026 11:38:24 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXMLBHRR →

Category view

All Kalshi Sports markets. /markets/category/sports →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →