SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Sports prediction markets — where the field is moving right now.

10,707 Kalshi-classified live questions across 10,707 Kalshi contracts, $3,288,302 of 24h volume. 2,447 sit in coin-flip territory. 8,232 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=sports.

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 09 Aug 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$3.3M-23%
min $3.2Mmax $7.5M
Breadth7%-6.3pp
min -7%max 17%
Activity
warming up — first reading at 18:30 UTC
Aug 2past 7d · UTCAug 9 · 18:23

Live contracts

10,707

24h volume

$3.3M

# series in cat

44

curated GO series

Contested

23%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

-98¢

KXNCAAMBTOPAPRANK-26W1T25-BAY

Sports — liquidity topography (top 1,000 of 10,707 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.2 2.9/h

$10$100$1,000$10,000$100,0001d7d30d90d365d2.91.60.2

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Curated series in Sports

10 hubs · sorted by live count

Top markets in Sports

Showing top 20 of 10,707

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

Will Los Angeles D win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?: Los Angeles D39¢
IY 70%Cliff 2Edge RVol Resid $269.4K
Will Boston win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?: Boston
IY 454%Cliff 10Edge RVol 860%Resid $124.0K
Will Ian Machado Garry win the Makhachev vs Garry professional MMA fight scheduled for Aug 15, 2026?: Ian Machado Garry22¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge RVol Resid $81.7K
Will Islam Makhachev win the Makhachev vs Garry professional MMA fight scheduled for Aug 15, 2026?: Islam Makhachev77¢
IY 537%Cliff 3Edge RVol Resid $61.8K
Will Rafael Jodar win the US Open Men's Singles?: Rafael Jodar
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol Resid $43.6K
Will Philadelphia win the 2027 Pro Basketball Finals?: Philadelphia10¢
IY 303%Cliff 9Edge RVol Resid $42.4K
Will Dallas win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?: Dallas
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol Resid $38.5K
Will Scottie Scheffler win the grand slam before 2028?: Before 2028
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge RVol Resid $35.4K
Will Los Angeles R win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?: Los Angeles R15¢
IY 225%Cliff 6Edge RVol 356%Resid $35.0K
Wyndham Championship: Will Beau Hossler finish top 5?: Beau Hossler78¢
IY 378%Cliff 4Edge RVol >999%Resid $31.2K
Nashville vs Miami Winner?: Miami33¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge RVol 223%Resid $31.1K
Will San Francisco win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?: San Francisco
IY 953%Cliff 24Edge RVol Resid $29.1K
Will Denver win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?: Denver
IY 953%Cliff 24Edge RVol Resid $27.0K
Will Philadelphia win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?: Philadelphia
IY 853%Cliff 19Edge RVol Resid $26.7K
What will be Steph Curry's next team?: Boston
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge RVol >999%Resid $26.5K
Will New York Y win the 2026 Pro Baseball Championship?: New York Y10¢
IY 404%Cliff 9Edge RVol 689%Resid $26.0K
Will Baltimore win the 2027 Pro Football Championship?: Baltimore
IY 622%Cliff 16Edge RVol Resid $24.7K
Will Boston win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship?: Boston18¢
IY 204%Cliff 5Edge RVol 804%Resid $24.1K
Orlando vs Cincinnati Winner?: Tie23¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge RVol Resid $24.0K
Will Rafael Jodar win the ATP Montreal?: Rafael Jodar19¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge RVol >999%Resid $23.4K
10,707 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Sports

From market_changes

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 09 Aug 2026 18:08:42 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=sports

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=sports

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →