SimpleFunctions

Markets · Category

Sports prediction markets — where the field is moving right now.

9,150 Kalshi-classified live questions across 9,150 Kalshi contracts, $31,030,794 of 24h volume. 1,896 sit in coin-flip territory. 8,969 markets moved 5cents+ in the last 24h. Refreshed every 15 minutes.

Polymarket-side classification backfill is in flight — until shipped, see the cross-venue picture under /odds?category=sports.

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 25 Jun 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$31.0M-17%
min $18.3Mmax $42.5M
Breadth-4%-3.2pp
min -6%max 12%
Activity
warming up — first reading at 13:45 UTC
Jun 18past 7d · UTCJun 25 · 12:23

Live contracts

9,150

24h volume

$31.0M

# series in cat

44

curated GO series

Contested

21%

30-70% prob

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

+97¢

KXCHESSFIDERATINGTOP-26JULT10-MCAR

Sports — liquidity topography (top 1,000 of 9,150 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = price changes / hour. Range: 0.2 3.1/h

$10$100$1,000$10,000$100,000$1,000,0001d7d30d90d365d3.11.70.2

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Curated series in Sports

10 hubs · sorted by live count

Top markets in Sports

Showing top 20 of 9,150

Sortable across every numeric column — IY / Cliff / Edge / RVol / Resid / 24h vol — all bounded for readability, raw on hover.

Will the Mexico win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Mexico
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol Resid $3.2M
Will the USA win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: USA
IY 920%Cliff 19Edge RVol Resid $2.9M
Will the Argentina win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Argentina16¢
IY 254%Cliff 5Edge RVol 383%Resid $1.5M
Will the France win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: France20¢
IY 194%Cliff 4Edge RVol 448%Resid $1.3M
Will the Brazil win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Brazil
IY 758%Cliff 16Edge RVol Resid $1.2M
Will the Netherlands win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Netherlands
IY 643%Cliff 13Edge RVol 926%Resid $1.1M
Will the Portugal win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Portugal
IY 489%Cliff 10Edge RVol >999%Resid $1.1M
Will Scottie Scheffler win the Travelers Championship?: Scottie Scheffler17¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge RVol Resid $986.7K
Will Wyndham Clark win the Travelers Championship?: Wyndham Clark
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol Resid $764.1K
Will Justin Thomas win the Travelers Championship?: Justin Thomas
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol Resid $685.0K
Will the Norway win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Norway
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol Resid $623.2K
Will Tommy Fleetwood win the Travelers Championship?: Tommy Fleetwood
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge RVol Resid $598.6K
Will the Spain win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Spain13¢
IY 324%Cliff 7Edge RVol Resid $591.5K
Will the Germany win the 2026 Men's World Cup?: Germany
IY 920%Cliff 19Edge RVol Resid $523.3K
Will Sam Burns win the Travelers Championship?: Sam Burns
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol Resid $480.2K
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the Travelers Championship?: Matt Fitzpatrick
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol Resid $477.3K
Norway vs France Winner?: France60¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge RVol 93%Resid $466.5K
Will Cameron Young win the Travelers Championship?: Cameron Young
IY >999%Cliff 24Edge RVol >999%Resid $428.6K
Will Russell Henley win the Travelers Championship?: Russell Henley
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol >999%Resid $421.5K
Will Collin Morikawa win the Travelers Championship?: Collin Morikawa
IY >999%Cliff 32Edge RVol Resid $407.3K
9,150 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in Sports

From market_changes

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 25 Jun 2026 13:08:42 GMT.

All markets

Liquidity heatmap across both venues. /markets →

Cross-venue / Polymarket

Per-question parity map (includes Polymarket). /odds?category=sports

Filter & explore

IY / CRI / RV / VR cuts in this category. /screen?category=sports

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →