SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

NBA Player Points Prop Markets — 40 contracts, SF signal on every row.

40 live Kalshi contracts (107 audited). Median implied probability sits at 32%. 61 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXNBAPTS-26MAY25NYKCLE-NYKJBRUNSON11-20 -23c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Fit: mean deviation 27.2pp · cheapest KXNBAPTS-26MAY25NYKCLE-NYKMROBINSON23-15 · richest KXNBAPTS-26MAY25NYKCLE-CLEEMOBLEY4-10.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXNBAPTS.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXNBAPTS
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXNBAPTS
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXNBAPTS",
    "label": "NBA Player Points Prop Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 40,
    "volume24hSum": 4358.61,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": {
    "seriesType": "unknown",
    "hazardRate": 0.00765
  }
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 24 May 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100-1416.0
Vol Flow$4.4K-55%
min $152max $124.6K
Breadth0%-6.7pp
min -67%max 100%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 18:45 UTC
May 17past 7d · UTCMay 24 · 18:23

Live contracts

40

Median IY

32¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$4.4K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

-23¢

KXNBAPTS-26MAY25NYKCLE-NYKJBRUNSON11-20

NBA Player Points Prop Markets — liquidity topography (top 28 of 40 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 327.0 → 77525.2%

$10$100$1,0001d7d77525.238926.1327.0

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in NBA Player Points Prop Markets

Showing top 20 of 40

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

OG Anunoby: 15+ points: OG Anunoby: 15+58¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.7K
Jarrett Allen: 25+ points: Jarrett Allen: 25+6¢
IY >999%Cliff 16Edge —RVol —Resid —$708
Karl-Anthony Towns: 25+ points: Karl-Anthony Towns: 25+14¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol —Resid —$337
Jalen Brunson: 30+ points: Jalen Brunson: 30+33¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$331
Mikal Bridges: 15+ points: Mikal Bridges: 15+51¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$208
Jalen Brunson: 25+ points: Jalen Brunson: 25+58¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol —Resid —$205
Karl-Anthony Towns: 20+ points: Karl-Anthony Towns: 20+36¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$160
Jarrett Allen: 10+ points: Jarrett Allen: 10+73¢
IY 887%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$145
James Harden: 30+ points: James Harden: 30+5¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol —Resid —$100
Donovan Mitchell: 25+ points: Donovan Mitchell: 25+60¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$90
Donovan Mitchell: 30+ points: Donovan Mitchell: 30+35¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$75
Josh Hart: 15+ points: Josh Hart: 15+33¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$64
Mitchell Robinson: 10+ points: Mitchell Robinson: 10+10¢
IY >999%Cliff 9Edge —RVol —Resid —$56
Jalen Brunson: 20+ points: Jalen Brunson: 20+81¢
IY 562%Cliff 4Edge —RVol —Resid —$54
OG Anunoby: 20+ points: OG Anunoby: 20+28¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$31
Jalen Brunson: 35+ points: Jalen Brunson: 35+16¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$19
Karl-Anthony Towns: 30+ points: Karl-Anthony Towns: 30+5¢
IY >999%Cliff 19Edge —RVol —Resid —$16
Karl-Anthony Towns: 15+ points: Karl-Anthony Towns: 15+68¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$14
Josh Hart: 10+ points: Josh Hart: 10+68¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$14
OG Anunoby: 10+ points: OG Anunoby: 10+85¢
IY 423%Cliff 6Edge —RVol —Resid —$8
40 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in NBA Player Points Prop Markets

From market_changes
15h agoKalshi
Jalen Brunson: 20+ points: Jalen Brunson: 20+
75¢98→75 (-23)
open →
18h agoKalshi
Luguentz Dort: 10+ points: Luguentz Dort: 10+
22¢6→22 (+16)
open →
18h agoKalshi
Cason Wallace: 10+ points: Cason Wallace: 10+
39¢24→39 (+15)
open →
20h agoKalshi
Isaiah Hartenstein: 10+ points: Isaiah Hartenstein: 10+
9¢23→9 (-14)
open →
18h agoKalshi
Cason Wallace: 10+ points: Cason Wallace: 10+
24¢37→24 (-13)
open →
20h agoKalshi
Victor Wembanyama: 20+ points: Victor Wembanyama: 20+
65¢78→65 (-13)
open →
18h agoKalshi
Chet Holmgren: 10+ points: Chet Holmgren: 10+
73¢60→73 (+13)
open →
18h agoKalshi
De'Aaron Fox: 10+ points: De'Aaron Fox: 10+
77¢64→77 (+13)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 24 May 2026 18:38:24 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXNBAPTS →

Category view

All Kalshi Sports markets. /markets/category/sports →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →