SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

NBA Player Points Prop Markets — 54 contracts, SF signal on every row.

54 live Kalshi contracts (107 audited). Median implied probability sits at 21%. 14 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXNBAPTS-26JUN08SASNYK-NYKMMCBRIDE2-15 -7c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Fit: mean deviation 22.4pp · cheapest KXNBAPTS-26JUN08SASNYK-NYKMMCBRIDE2-15 · richest KXNBAPTS-26JUN08SASNYK-SASSCASTLE5-10.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXNBAPTS.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXNBAPTS
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXNBAPTS
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXNBAPTS",
    "label": "NBA Player Points Prop Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 54,
    "volume24hSum": 113320.43,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": {
    "seriesType": "unknown",
    "hazardRate": 0.0113
  }
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 07 Jun 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$113.3K>+999%
min $3.5Kmax $251.5K
Breadth-33%-78.8pp
min -100%max 45%
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 14:30 UTC
May 31past 7d · UTCJun 7 · 12:23

Live contracts

54

Median IY

21¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$113.3K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

-7¢

KXNBAPTS-26JUN08SASNYK-NYKMMCBRIDE2-15

NBA Player Points Prop Markets — liquidity topography (54 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 484.4 → 76475.3%

$10$100$1,000$10,0001d7d76475.338479.9484.4

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in NBA Player Points Prop Markets

Showing top 20 of 54

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

Victor Wembanyama: 30+ points: Victor Wembanyama: 30+37¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$12.7K
OG Anunoby: 20+ points: OG Anunoby: 20+26¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 293%Resid —$10.1K
OG Anunoby: 15+ points: OG Anunoby: 15+55¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 193%Resid —$9.8K
Keldon Johnson: 10+ points: Keldon Johnson: 10+19¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 665%Resid —$7.7K
Stephon Castle: 15+ points: Stephon Castle: 15+57¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 339%Resid —$6.6K
Landry Shamet: 10+ points: Landry Shamet: 10+39¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 393%Resid —$5.0K
Victor Wembanyama: 25+ points: Victor Wembanyama: 25+62¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 186%Resid —$4.7K
Julian Champagnie: 15+ points: Julian Champagnie: 15+23¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol 800%Resid —$4.6K
Dylan Harper: 15+ points: Dylan Harper: 15+43¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 289%Resid —$4.1K
Josh Hart: 10+ points: Josh Hart: 10+44¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 167%Resid —$3.3K
Karl-Anthony Towns: 20+ points: Karl-Anthony Towns: 20+41¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 161%Resid —$3.3K
Victor Wembanyama: 35+ points: Victor Wembanyama: 35+16¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 435%Resid —$3.2K
Jose Alvarado: 10+ points: Jose Alvarado: 10+8¢
IY >999%Cliff 12Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$3.0K
Mitchell Robinson: 10+ points: Mitchell Robinson: 10+8¢
IY >999%Cliff 12Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.9K
Landry Shamet: 15+ points: Landry Shamet: 15+14¢
IY >999%Cliff 6Edge —RVol 815%Resid —$2.5K
Dylan Harper: 20+ points: Dylan Harper: 20+17¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol —Resid —$2.5K
Miles McBride: 10+ points: Miles McBride: 10+18¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 443%Resid —$2.4K
Mikal Bridges: 15+ points: Mikal Bridges: 15+42¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 361%Resid —$2.4K
Jalen Brunson: 25+ points: Jalen Brunson: 25+58¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 319%Resid —$2.3K
Jalen Brunson: 30+ points: Jalen Brunson: 30+34¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$1.9K
54 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in NBA Player Points Prop Markets

From market_changes
23h agoKalshi
Miles McBride: 15+ points: Miles McBride: 15+
2¢9→2 (-7)
open →
22h agoKalshi
Victor Wembanyama: 20+ points: Victor Wembanyama: 20+
77¢83→77 (-6)
open →
7h agoKalshi
Dylan Harper: 10+ points: Dylan Harper: 10+
69¢75→69 (-6)
open →
3h agoKalshi
Stephon Castle: 15+ points: Stephon Castle: 15+
61¢55→61 (+6)
open →
15h agoKalshi
De'Aaron Fox: 10+ points: De'Aaron Fox: 10+
77¢82→77 (-5)
open →
9h agoKalshi
Stephon Castle: 10+ points: Stephon Castle: 10+
80¢85→80 (-5)
open →
8h agoKalshi
Jalen Brunson: 20+ points: Jalen Brunson: 20+
77¢82→77 (-5)
open →
7h agoKalshi
Jalen Brunson: 20+ points: Jalen Brunson: 20+
77¢82→77 (-5)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 07 Jun 2026 14:08:23 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXNBAPTS →

Category view

All Kalshi Sports markets. /markets/category/sports →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →