SimpleFunctions

Markets · Series

NBA Game Point Spread Markets — 44 contracts, SF signal on every row.

44 live Kalshi contracts (76 audited). Median implied probability sits at 18%. 3 contracts moved 5cents+ in the last 24h (biggest: KXNBASPREAD-26JUN08SASNYK-SAS9 -5c). Refreshed every 5 minutes.

Fit: mean deviation 11.7pp · cheapest KXNBASPREAD-26JUN08SASNYK-NYK25 · richest KXNBASPREAD-26JUN08SASNYK-NYK1.

Analytics view (term structure, fitted hazard rate, per-bucket deviations): /yield-curves/KXNBASPREAD.

Series JSON twin
GET/api/public/markets/series/KXNBASPREAD
Term curve JSON
GET/api/public/yield-curves/KXNBASPREAD
›example response
{
  "scope": {
    "type": "series",
    "slug": "KXNBASPREAD",
    "label": "NBA Game Point Spread Markets"
  },
  "live": {
    "contractCount": 44,
    "volume24hSum": 318062.24,
    "hasThesisCount": 0
  },
  "termFit": {
    "seriesType": "unknown",
    "hazardRate": 0.01604
  }
}
By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 07 Jun 2026Methodology
Disagreement≥100
Vol Flow$318.1K+199%
min $31.4Kmax $2.1M
Breadth100%0.0pp
Activity—
warming up — first reading at 13:15 UTC
May 31past 7d · UTCJun 7 · 12:23

Live contracts

44

Median IY

18¢

implied prob (YES)

24h volume

$318.1K

Days to catalyst

none

no scheduled catalyst

SF thesis coverage

0

Top mover

-5¢

KXNBASPREAD-26JUN08SASNYK-SAS9

NBA Game Point Spread Markets — liquidity topography (44 markets)

X = time-to-resolution (log). Y = 24h volume (log). Color = annualized %. Range: 2174.5 → 76169.3%

$10$100$1,000$10,000$100,0001d7d76169.339171.92174.5

Hover for ticker detail; click to open the per-market page. full screener →

Top markets in NBA Game Point Spread Markets

Showing top 20 of 44

Sortable on every numeric column. Every row carries the SF indicator stack — bounded for readability, raw value on hover.

New York wins by over 2.5 points?: New York wins by over 2.5 points48¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 302%Resid —$182.6K
New York wins by over 3.5 points?: New York wins by over 3.5 points45¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 176%Resid —$11.5K
New York wins by over 4.5 points?: New York wins by over 4.5 points42¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 218%Resid —$9.7K
New York wins by over 6.5 points?: New York wins by over 6.5 points36¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$8.5K
San Antonio wins by over 2.5 points?: San Antonio wins by over 2.5 points39¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol —Resid —$7.8K
New York wins by over 7.5 points?: New York wins by over 7.5 points32¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 473%Resid —$7.7K
San Antonio wins by over 19.5 points?: San Antonio wins by over 19.5 points7¢
IY >999%Cliff 13Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$7.0K
New York wins by over 9.5 points?: New York wins by over 9.5 points27¢
IY >999%Cliff 3Edge —RVol —Resid —$6.7K
San Antonio wins by over 3.5 points?: San Antonio wins by over 3.5 points36¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 272%Resid —$5.7K
New York wins by over 1.5 points?: New York wins by over 1.5 points52¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 152%Resid —$5.1K
New York wins by over 8.5 points?: New York wins by over 8.5 points29¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 537%Resid —$4.2K
San Antonio wins by over 9.5 points?: San Antonio wins by over 9.5 points22¢
IY >999%Cliff 4Edge —RVol 790%Resid —$3.6K
New York wins by over 5.5 points?: New York wins by over 5.5 points38¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 283%Resid —$3.5K
San Antonio wins by over 5.5 points?: San Antonio wins by over 5.5 points32¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 261%Resid —$3.4K
San Antonio wins by over 4.5 points?: San Antonio wins by over 4.5 points34¢
IY >999%Cliff 2Edge —RVol 463%Resid —$3.2K
San Antonio wins by over 13.5 points?: San Antonio wins by over 13.5 points13¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol 766%Resid —$3.2K
San Antonio wins by over 1.5 points?: San Antonio wins by over 1.5 points42¢
IY >999%Cliff 1Edge —RVol 192%Resid —$2.9K
New York wins by over 16.5 points?: New York wins by over 16.5 points12¢
IY >999%Cliff 7Edge —RVol 735%Resid —$2.8K
New York wins by over 14.5 points?: New York wins by over 14.5 points17¢
IY >999%Cliff 5Edge —RVol 682%Resid —$2.7K
New York wins by over 17.5 points?: New York wins by over 17.5 points11¢
IY >999%Cliff 8Edge —RVol >999%Resid —$2.6K
44 contracts total · sort any columnFull set on /screen →

Biggest movers, 24h, in NBA Game Point Spread Markets

From market_changes
6h agoKalshi
San Antonio wins by over 9.5 points?: San Antonio wins by over 9.5 points
17¢22→17 (-5)
open →
6h agoKalshi
San Antonio wins by over 14.5 points?: San Antonio wins by over 14.5 points
7¢12→7 (-5)
open →
6h agoKalshi
New York wins by over 25.5 points?: New York wins by over 25.5 points
6¢1→6 (+5)
open →

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.

Last updated on this page: 07 Jun 2026 12:38:23 GMT.

Term-structure analytics

Probability vs tenor curve and per-bucket deviation analysis. /yield-curves/KXNBASPREAD →

Category view

All Kalshi Sports markets. /markets/category/sports →

Venue view

Everything on Kalshi. /markets/venue/kalshi →

JSON API

Same data, machine-readable. twin endpoint →